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The Week Ahead — October 12–16, 2026

US consumer prices for September arrive on Wednesday, October 14, at 13:30 UK time, the only Tier 1 release of the week and the last CPI report before the Federal Reserve meets on October 27–28.

The week at a glance

DayUK timeEventPairTierTrack record
Wed Oct 1402:30China CPI (Sep)confirmed with publisherUSD/CNHTier 2median peak 3.0x, n=2
Wed Oct 1413:30US CPI (Sep)confirmed with publisherUSD/JPYTier 1median peak 15.6x, n=3
Thu Oct 1507:00UK GDP (Aug)confirmed with publisherGBP/USDTier 2median peak 2.7x, n=4

UK times (BST). No G10 central bank sets rates this week. Track record: the largest move in the first ten minutes as a multiple of a normal ten minutes, in the pair shown, measured since June 2026.

No G10 central bank sets rates this week, so US inflation, the Fed's Beige Book on Wednesday evening and Fed Chair Warsh on Friday morning carry the rate story into the Fed's quiet period, which begins on Saturday, October 17. Monday is thin: the US bond market is closed for Columbus Day, Japan is on holiday for Sports Day and Canada observes Thanksgiving, so liquidity may be patchy.

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